Dr Chris Wilson

Biography

Research interests


My research focuses on the physics of the climate system, its temporal evolution (climate dynamics), the formal relationship between climate observations and dynamical understanding, and the predictability of both climate dynamics and climate metrics—defined as measurable, meaningful functions of the system’s state. “Meaningful” extends beyond scientific insight to include socioeconomic relevance, such as improving forecasts of coastal flooding by identifying ocean measurements that reduce uncertainty in future projections.


Central to these interests is nonlinear dynamics, encompassing processes like shear-flow instability and the formation of mesoscale ocean eddies—turbulent structures on scales of roughly 1–100 km and lasting days to weeks. These eddies, analogous to atmospheric weather systems, play a key role in shaping ocean circulation by transferring energy from wind and buoyancy forcing into momentum, sharpening boundary currents such as the Gulf Stream, and redistributing heat and freshwater throughout the climate system. Their inherently nonlinear nature links directly to questions of climate predictability and the design of meaningful and predictable metrics.




Some recent examples include:


  • Ocean transport and mixing – both in terms of the kinematics of flow deformation and the generation of coherent flow structures (eddies/vortices/saddles) and the dynamics (how these structures evolve subject to the physical equations of motion for the fluid).
  • The representation of eddies in the ocean component of climate models – eddy parameterisation, the effect of eddies on larger and smaller scales and therefore on long-term climate predictability and short-term forecasting.
  • Representation of the climate as a dynamical system – a commonly used layer of abstraction that is helpful for understanding complexity, predictability, chaos and the role of nonlinear dynamics (usually involving waves, turbulence or eddies).
  • Sea-level science – understanding and predicting sea-level change, especially for regional and local-scale societal and environmental impacts. This involves a range of collaborative approaches, since sea-level is the sum of a large number of dynamical and thermodynamical processes, and relies on combining several observing systems in different reference frames with tailored modelling solutions for the best predictions.
 



Research profile and statistics


Committee Memberships

  • Co-chair of international NEMO Working Group on Eddy Closures 2021-2025
  • UKRI/NERC Peer Review College Member 2017–2023
  • NOC Point of Contact for the Mathematics for our Future Climate Centre for Doctoral Training (https://mfccdt.ac.uk) 
  • Reviewer for IPCC AR6 WG1

Projects

Current funded projects

ENMASSE - EU Copernicus Marine Service

CANARI - National Capability (LTSM)

FOCUS - National Capability (NC International)


Selected previous projects


The UK Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (UK-OSNAP) (OSNAP) – NERC Large Grant – Co-I

Shelf-Enabled Global Modelling – Work package of CLASS National Capability Programme – leading/coordinating sea-level modelling development within NOC via the Shelf-Enabled NEMO (SENEMO) model development project.

Advective Pathways of nutrients and key Ecological substances in the ARctic (APEAR) – NERC Standard Grant – Researcher Co-I

MESoscale Ocean eddies and Climate Predictions (MESO-CLIP) – NERC Standard Grant – Co-I

The Structure and Stability of Transport and Mixing Barriers within the Antarctic Circumpolar Current – NERC New Investigator Grant – sole PI


PDRAs

Neill Mackay OSNAP, 2014–2018


Students

Scott Lewin : Ph.D., Imperial College, London, 2024 - (co-supervised with Marilena Oltmanns, Pavel Berloff, Ted Shepherd and Till Kuhlbrodt) 

Ollie Tooth : D.Phil., U. Oxford, 2020–2024 (co-supervised with Helen Johnson; now employed at NOC), "Lagrangian Perspectives on the Meridional Overturning Circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean"


Robert Fraser : D.Phil., U. Oxford, 2015–2018 (co-supervised with Laure Zanna and Matthew Palmer), “Interannual North Atlantic Sea Surface Height Dynamics and Associated Predictability”


Selected Measures of Impact/Esteem
- 2016 Editors’ Citation for Excellence in Refereeing for Geophysical Research Letters.

- NERC Impact Awards 2015 - Runner-up in the Societal Impact category.

- Invited speaker and co-chair of session, “The North Atlantic: natural variability and global change” at European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Apr. 2017, Vienna. Title: “Gulf Stream transport and mixing processes via coherent structure dynamics”

– Invited seminars: GEOMAR, Kiel, 2017; Imperial College, London, 2018; U. Oxford, 2020.

– Science Museum, London – contribution, including video interview, to permanent exhibition on ocean modelling in the new Mathematics Gallery, showing Dec. 2016 – present.

– Honorary Research Fellow, School of Environmental Sciences, Uni. Liverpool, 2006 – present.

– Member of SWOT (Surface Water, Ocean Topography satellite) Science Team, Apr. 2016 – present.

– Guest Editor of Ocean Dynamics, 2015.

- Associate editor of the Journal of Operational Oceanography, 2008-2014.

- External examiner for Ph.D. of Erik Mackie, U. Bristol, 2019.

- External examiner for D.Phil. of Sarka Tukova, U. Oxford, 2011.

- Reviewer for J. Fluid Mechanics, Geophysical Research Letters, J. Physical Oceanography, J. Climate, Ocean Modelling, J. Atmos. Sci., J. Geophysical Research, J. Oper. Oceanography., Progress in Oceanography, Scientific Reports, Ocean Dynamics.

- Book contributions: “The Story of the Scientists Who Unraveled the Mysteries of Our Oceans, Atmosphere, and Ice Sheets and Made the Planet Whole”, Sarah Dry, 2019, U. Chicago Press. (Nature’s “Top Ten Books of 2019”); “Ocean Dynamics and the Carbon Cycle: Principles and Mechanisms”, Richard G. Williams and Michael J. Follows, 2011, Cambridge University Press.

Roles Provided

Physical Oceanographer (Senior Scientific Officer since 2011)

Honorary Research Fellow, University of Liverpool, School of Environmental Sciences (since 2006)
Profile photo

Publications

Authors

Tooth, Oliver J.; Johnson, Helen L.; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2025 Controls on dense-water formation along the path of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre. Ocean Science, 21 (5). 2101-2123. 10.5194/os-21-2101-2025

Publication year

2025

Publication type

Article

Authors

Tooth, Oliver J.; Foukal, Nicholas P.; Johns, William E.; Johnson, Helen L.; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2024 Lagrangian decomposition of the Atlantic Ocean heat transport at 26.5°N. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (14). 10.1029/2023GL107399

Publication year

2024

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2023

Publication type

Article

Authors

Tooth, Oliver J.; Johnson, Helen L.; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2022 Lagrangian overturning pathways in the eastern Subpolar North Atlantic. Journal of Climate. 1-53. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0985.1

Publication year

2022

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2021

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2021

Publication type

Article

Authors

Ni, Qinbiao; Zhai, Xiaoming; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Chen, Changlin; Chen, Dake. 2021 Submesoscale eddies in the South China Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (6), e2020GL091555. 10.1029/2020GL091555

Publication year

2021

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2020

Publication type

Conference item

Authors

Jackson, L.C.; Dubois, C.; Forget, G.; Haines, K.; Harrison, M.; Iovino, D.; Köhl, A.; Mignac, D.; Masina, S.; Peterson, K.A.; Piecuch, C.G.; Roberts, C.; Robson, J.; Storto, A.; Toyoda, T.; Valdivieso, M.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Wang, Y.; Zuo, H.. 2019 The mean state and variability of the North Atlantic circulation: a perspective from ocean reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). 9141-9170. 10.1029/2019JC015210

Publication year

2019

Publication type

Article

Authors

Fraser, Robert; Palmer, Matthew; Roberts, Christopher; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Copsey, Dan; Zanna, Laure. 2019 Investigating the predictability of North Atlantic sea surface height. Climate Dynamics, 53 (3-4). 2175-2195. 10.1007/s00382-019-04814-0

Publication year

2019

Publication type

Article

Authors

Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Harle, James; Wakelin, Sarah ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2081-2693. 2019 Development of a regional ocean model for the Caribbean, including 3D dynamics, thermodynamics and full surface flux forcing. Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, 40pp. (National Oceanography Centre Research and Consultancy Report, 65)

Publication year

2019

Publication type

Monograph

Authors

Frajka-Williams, Eleanor ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8773-7838; Ansorge, Isabelle J.; Baehr, Johanna; Bryden, Harry L.; Chidichimo, Maria Paz; Cunningham, Stuart A.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dong, Shenfu; Donohue, Kathleen A.; Elipot, Shane; Heimbach, Patrick; Holliday, N. Penny ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9733-8002; Hummels, Rebecca; Jackson, Laura C.; Karstensen, Johannes; Lankhorst, Matthias; Le Bras, Isabela A.; Lozier, M. Susan; McDonagh, Elaine L.; Meinen, Christopher S.; Mercier, Herlé; Moat, Bengamin I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8676-7779; Perez, Renellys C.; Piecuch, Christopher G.; Rhein, Monika; Srokosz, Meric A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411; Trenberth, Kevin E.; Bacon, Sheldon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2471-9373; Forget, Gael; Goni, Gustavo; Kieke, Dagmar; Koelling, Jannes; Lamont, Tarron; McCarthy, Gerard D.; Mertens, Christian; Send, Uwe; Smeed, David A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1740-1778; Speich, Sabrina; van den Berg, Marcel; Volkov, Denis; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2019 Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Observed Transport and Variability. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6. 10.3389/fmars.2019.00260

Publication year

2019

Publication type

Article

Authors

Lozier, M. S.; Li, F.; Bacon, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2471-9373; Bahr, F.; Bower, A. S.; Cunningham, S. A.; de Jong, M. F.; de Steur, L.; deYoung, B.; Fischer, J.; Gary, S. F.; Greenan, B. J. W.; Holliday, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9733-8002; Houk, A.; Houpert, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8750-5631; Inall, M. E.; Johns, W. E.; Johnson, H. L.; Johnson, C.; Karstensen, J.; Koman, G.; Le Bras, I. A.; Lin, X.; Mackay, N.; Marshall, D. P.; Mercier, H.; Oltmanns, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8959-4938; Pickart, R. S.; Ramsey, A. L.; Rayner, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2283-4140; Straneo, F.; Thierry, V.; Torres, D. J.; Williams, R. G.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Yang, J.; Yashayaev, I.; Zhao, J.. 2019 A sea change in our view of overturning in the subpolar North Atlantic. Science, 363 (6426). 516-521. 10.1126/science.aau6592

Publication year

2019

Publication type

Article

Authors

Liu, Yi; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Green, Melissa A.; Hughes, Chris W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9355-0233. 2018 Gulf Stream Transport and Mixing Processes via Coherent Structure Dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123 (4). 3014-3037. 10.1002/2017JC013390

Publication year

2018

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2018

Publication type

Article

Authors

Lozier, M. Susan; Bacon, Sheldon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2471-9373; Bower, Amy S.; Cunningham, Stuart A.; de Jong, M. Femke; de Steur, Laura; deYoung, Brad; Fischer, Jürgen; Gary, Stefan F; Greenan, Blair J.W.; Heimbach, Patrick; Holliday, Naomi P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9733-8002; Houpert, Loïc ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8750-5631; Inall, Mark E.; Johns, William E.; Johnson, Helen L.; Karstensen, Johannes; Li, Feili; Lin, Xiaopei; Mackay, Neill; Marshall, David P.; Mercier, Herlé; Myers, Paul G.; Pickart, Robert S.; Pillar, Helen R.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Thierry, Virginie; Weller, Robert A.; Williams, Richard G.; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Yang, Jiayan; Zhao, Jian; Zika, Jan D.. 2017 Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: a new international ocean observing system. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (4). 737-752. 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0057.1

Publication year

2017

Publication type

Article

Authors

Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2016 Does the wind systematically energize or damp ocean eddies? Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (24). 12,538-12,542. 10.1002/2016GL072215

Publication year

2016

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2015

Publication type

Article

Authors

Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Horsburgh, Kevin J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919; Williams, Jane; Flowerdew, Jonathan; Zanna, Laure. 2013 Tide-surge adjoint modeling: A new technique to understand forecast uncertainty. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (10). 5092-5108. 10.1002/jgrc.20364

Publication year

2013

Publication type

Article

Authors

Stansby, P.; Chini, N.; Apsley, D.; Borthwick, A.; Bricheno, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4751-9366; Horrilo-Caraballo, J.; McCabe, M.; Reeve, D.; Rogers, B.; Saulter, A.; Scott, A.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Wolf, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4129-8221; Yan, K.. 2013 An integrated model system for coastal flood prediction with a case history for Walcott, UK, on 9 November 2007. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 6 (3). 229-252. 10.1111/jfr3.12001

Publication year

2013

Publication type

Article

Authors

Williams, J.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Horsburgh, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919. 2012 Re-analysis of the December 1981 storm surge event in the Bristol Channel using the current operational tide-surge model suite. Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, 17pp. (National Oceanography Centre Research and Consultancy Report, 26)

Publication year

2012

Publication type

Monograph

Publication year

2011

Publication type

Article

Authors

Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Sinha, Bablu; Williams, Richard G.. 2010 The shaping of storm tracks by mountains and ocean dynamics. Weather, 65 (12). 320-323. 10.1002/wea.633

Publication year

2010

Publication type

Article

Authors

Flowerdew, Jonathan; Horsburgh, Kevin ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Mylne, Ken. 2010 Development and evaluation of an ensemble forecasting system for coastal storm surges. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (651), Part B. 1444-1456. 10.1002/qj.648

Publication year

2010

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2010

Publication type

Article

Authors

Thompson, A. F.; Haynes, P. H.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Richards, K. J.. 2010 Rapid Southern Ocean front transitions in an eddy-resolving ocean GCM. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L23602. 10.1029/2010gl045386

Publication year

2010

Publication type

Article

Authors

Turner, J.F.; Iliffe, J.C.; Ziebart, M.K.; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Horsburgh, K.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919. 2010 Interpolation of Tidal Levels in the Coastal Zone for the Creation of a Hydrographic Datum. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 27 (3). 605-613. 10.1175/2009jtecho645.1

Publication year

2010

Publication type

Article

Authors

Wilson, Christopher ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Sinha, Bablu; Williams, Richard, D.. 2009 The effect of ocean dynamics and orography on atmospheric storm tracks. Journal of Climate, 22 (13). 3689-3702. 10.1175/2009JCLI2651.1

Publication year

2009

Publication type

Article

Authors

Williams, Jane A.; Wilson, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Horsburgh, Kevin J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919. 2008 Data assmilation tests using NISE10 Storm Surge Model. Liverpool, Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory, 29pp. (Pol Internal Document No. 188)

Publication year

2008

Publication type

Monograph

Authors

Horsburgh, K. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-9919; Wilson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912; Baptie, B.J.; Cooper, A.; Cresswell, D.; Musson, R.M.W.; Ottemöller, L.; Richardson, S.; Sargeant, S.L.. 2008 Impact of a Lisbon-type tsunami on the U.K. coastline and the implications for tsunami propagation over broad continental shelves. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113 (C4). C04007. 10.1029/2007JC004425

Publication year

2008

Publication type

Article

Authors

Hogg, Andrew McC.; Meredith, Michael P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-7756; Blundell, Jeffrey R; Wilson, Christopher ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-2912. 2008 Eddy heat flux in the Southern Ocean: response to variable wind forcing. Journal of Climate, 21 (4). 608-620. 10.1175/2007JCLI1925.1

Publication year

2008

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2007

Publication type

Article

Publication year

2007

Publication type

Article